Grainne Gilmore found at Business
Times Online April 29, 2008
mortgage how much can i borrow affordablyMortgage approvals hit new low as rates rise: Bank of England figures spell more housing gloomMortgage ratesThe number of mortgages granted to home buyers fell further last month as prohibitive rates and demands for large deposits put off borrowers. Some 64,000 loans were approved for those buying or moving home in March, figures from the Bank of England show. This is the lowest figure since comparable records began in 1999. The figures pre-date the Bank's special liquidity scheme, designed to ease the seizure in the money markets to make it easier for lenders to secure funding.
Simon Rubinsohn, chief economist at the Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors, said: "It is improbable that the bottom of the cycle has not yet been reached given the latest announcement that Nationwide is following the lead of other lenders in requiring new borrowers to now put down at least a 10 per cent deposit to secure a mortgage. This is set to intensify the already significant pressure on first-time buyers." Philip Shaw at Investec said that the gloomy figures would intensify pressure on the Bank's Monetary Policy Committee to cut interest rates next month. “If this trend continues it would tend to point to rate cuts despite the fact that the Monetary Policy Committee is known to be walking the tightrope at the moment,” he said. Overall mortgage lending fell to £6.9 billion in February. This was the lowest level since March 2005 and well below the £8 billion monthly average for the previous six months. However there was some good news for borrowers as Royal Bank of Scotland and Natwest announced they would cut their new mortgage rates by between 0.1 and 0.3 per cent from tomorrow. Last week RBS announced its intention to raise £12 billion from shareholders via a rights issue. Economists are doubtful that the Bank's special liquidity scheme will signal a fall in rates. Howard Archer, of Global Insight, the economic consultancy, said: "Despite the Bank of England's special liquidity scheme, there are currently few signs that credit conditions are loosening significantly. Consequently, funds for mortgage lending seem likely to remain limited for some time to come while market interest rates are still high." Vicky Redwood, of Capital Economics, said: "Lenders will remain cautious. And even if the availability of mortgages does increase, the growing expectation of further house price falls might deter new buyers anyway. Accordingly, house prices look set to keep falling."
comments: The party is well and truly over and sanity is
returning. Mike Carter, Bristol, The market will take 6 months just to show clear signs of reversing, then it will reverse for a couple of years, then stagnate. The process will take at least 4 years. I suspect calling the market is one of BTL. The rest of us can buy when it is affordable and will not be missing "opportunities" Trevor, South east, Hopefully the level of borrowing on both mortgages and credit cards will continue to fall. It is the ony way the dig this country out of the mess it is in. Paul, Coventry, Yes, house prices will fall, exactly as they have in the past. The problem for the would be house buyer is a) has the market bottomed out ? - and b) when prices do begin their recovery, exactly as they always have done, will the would be buyers find they have left it too late? Chris Wild, Gloucester, Of course this has nothing to do with the
fact that house prices are the most unaffordable since records began. A Hariis, Kettering, UK Is that the same Simon Rubinsohn who predicted that house prices would remain level this year.When an economist talks his Master's book it discredits the whole profession. Patrick, Axminster, Devon And long may they fall! Hurrah! 50% off
would be nice. Davie P, London, |